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From the High Desert

A Cultural History of Art Bell

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July 9, 2002: Economic Forecasting - Gerald Celente

Jul 9, 2002
2h 48m
0:00 / 0:00
Gerald Celente, founder and director of the Trends Research Institute, joins Art Bell to discuss economic forecasting, trends, and America's prospects after first-hour calls produce the "Bell Comfort Index." Callers weigh in on the stock market's decline, corporate scandals at Enron and WorldCom, the war on terrorism, and ecological concerns, with ratings averaging around four to five.

Celente delivers a stark assessment, rating America's prospects at three. He outlines his theory of the "five O's" driving economic decline: overproduction, overcapacity, overpopulation, open markets, and online commerce. Celente warns that the gap between rich and poor has reached dangerous levels and draws parallels between 2002 and 1932, predicting trade wars, rising nationalism, and potential social upheaval.

The conversation turns to the possibility of another terrorist attack collapsing the economy, the erosion of constitutional rights under anti-terrorism measures, and the risk of middle-class revolution. Celente argues that until the United States stops policing the world and meddling in foreign conflicts, the terrorism trend will only escalate, drawing from predictions he published years earlier.

Key Moments

  1. Wall Street is a mafia scam in three-piece suits: Celente argues banks fueled the speculative bubble with cheap money, golden parachutes are hush money, and Wall Street analysts are barkers running a legitimized confidence scheme.

  2. Investor confidence is the one mistake they cannot afford: Bell and Celente agree the market is on the brink of a confidence collapse where investors stop trusting the numbers entirely, which Celente says is no longer a question of faith but of fact.

  3. Dumbed-down 'sassy news' and the CNN-MTV deal: Celente reads from a January 2002 New York Times piece about CNN partnering with MTV for sassier news segments, calling it kitty litter that prevents Americans from seeing what is coming economically.

  4. Crime, demographics, and the prison industrial complex: Celente predicts crime will rise again as the crime-prone teen demographic peaks while the economy tanks, calling the prison system a prison industrial complex and the war on drugs unwinnable like the war on terror.