February 18, 2007: China's Tactics - Ralph Sawyer | UFO Intention Experiment - James Gilliland
In the second half, Art interviews independent military scholar Ralph Sawyer about China as a growing strategic threat. Sawyer, who spent nearly four decades studying Chinese military doctrine across Asia, warns that conflict with China is likely within 30 years. He details how Taiwan could fall through internal subversion rather than invasion, describes China modernizing its nuclear arsenal from liquid-fueled ICBMs to mobile solid-fueled missiles, and explains how their recent anti-satellite weapon test demonstrates a strategy to neutralize American net-centric warfare.
The program opens during the Chinese Year of the Pig, with Sawyer explaining competing astrological interpretations among Hong Kong geomancers. Callers contribute sighting reports from the intent experiment and raise questions about climate change and the Area 51 flyover tape.
Key Moments
2,000 emails after the intent experiment: Art reports being flooded with roughly 2,000 sighting emails after the previous night's mass-intent experiment, with reports streaming in from Berkeley, Seattle, Hawaii, Houston, Vancouver, New York and Iowa.
Conflict with China within 30 years: Sawyer tells Art he expects some form of US-China conflict within 30 years, with Taiwan and Southeast Asia as the flashpoints, and warns that strategic ambiguity may collapse because Taiwan looks increasingly indefensible.
Taiwan falls from internal subversion: Sawyer argues Taiwan will not need to be invaded - it will be lost through acculturation, business integration with the mainland, and Chinese penetration of Taiwan's defense, power and water computer systems backed by 900 missiles already aimed at it.
Anti-satellite test was no surprise: Sawyer connects China's January 2007 ASAT test and earlier laser 'painting' of US observation satellites to a long-standing doctrine of denying America its net-centric warfare backbone by killing GPS and comms satellites.
The Qin model for ending US hegemony: Sawyer says Chinese think tanks consciously model on the ancient Qin state - using subversion, assassination, bribery, soft and hard power over decades - to displace American dominance in the Pacific and then globally by mid-century.